Albacete 2-0 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Oct 2024

Albacete
2-0 HT 2-0
Burgos
📅21/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Albacete vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 34% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.86
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.59
X/2
13%
7.16
X/X
14%
4.29
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
13%
5.38
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albacete v Burgos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.60/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.25
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.4 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Albacete vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Burgos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
278 Passes 273
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
16.09.2023 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
19.02.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
20.08.2022 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
28.04.2002 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
02.12.2001 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2

Albacete 2-0 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
2-0
AWAY Burgos
2.50 xG 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
254 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete saw off Burgos 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Albacete made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Albacete had 40% of the ball to Burgos's 60%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.50 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albacete and 0.83 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Burgos?

Albacete 2-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Albacete 37%, draw 29%, Burgos 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Albacete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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