Sampdoria U20 2-4 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.6pp
33%
Draw
23%
+9.5pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria U20 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria U20
2-4
AWAY Fiorentina U20
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sampdoria U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 saw off Sampdoria U20 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sampdoria U20 had 44% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 56%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Sampdoria U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Sampdoria U20 2-4 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria U20 24%, draw 33%, Fiorentina U20 43%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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