21/10/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Udinese U20 vs Genoa U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
19%
Draw
20%
50%
Away Win
62%
47%
Under 2.5
30%
53%
Over 2.5
70%
46%
BTTS Yes
63%
54%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Udinese U20 v Genoa U20 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Udinese U20
EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY
Genoa U20
EU Bookmakers 67%
-24% /
-24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-43%
/
-77%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
8
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
6
252 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
357 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Udinese U20 vs Genoa U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Genoa U20 beat Udinese U20 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Genoa U20 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Udinese U20 vs Genoa U20?
Udinese U20 0-2 Genoa U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Udinese U20 vs Genoa U20?
Before kick-off our model rated an Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Udinese U20 31%, draw 19%, Genoa U20 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa U20), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Genoa U20)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTAPŞ1
More Italy - Primavera Championship
21 Oct 2024