Hellas Verona 0-3 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.62
Over
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.59
2-3
37%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.54
6+
9%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.59 — our 35% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.29
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
11%
6.53
X/X
14%
3.74
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
10%
4.98
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza The Market 32%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +23%
1.34/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.10
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.3 Crosses 15.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Monza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.67 xG 0.99
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
263 Passes 463
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Monza Monza 0-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
05.11.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 0-1 Monza Monza İTA
12.03.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
06.11.2022 Monza Monza 2-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
0-3
AWAY Monza
0.93 xG 1.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
398 Passes 279
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza swept aside Hellas Verona 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hellas Verona at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 59% of the ball to Monza's 41%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.93 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Monza led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.50 for Monza.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Monza?

Hellas Verona 0-3 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 42%, draw 29%, Monza 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hellas Verona), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hellas Verona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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