Monza 0-0 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.53
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
24.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.16
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.6
X/2
11%
6.36
X/X
10%
3.85
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
16%
4.99
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.02/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
-39% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
20.4 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hellas Verona
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 0.66
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
498 Passes 257
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 0-1 Monza Monza İTA
12.03.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
06.11.2022 Monza Monza 2-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
0-0
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.68 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
359 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monza vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza and Hellas Verona fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Monza had 55% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 45%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.68 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Monza had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Monza and 0.67 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Monza vs Hellas Verona?

Monza 0-0 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monza 39%, draw 26%, Hellas Verona 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5
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