Fiorentina vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Fiorentina
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Frosinone
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Fiorentina
İTA
4-1
HT 4-0
Frosinone
İTA
Fiorentina 5-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina swept aside Frosinone 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Fiorentina had 54% of the ball to Frosinone's 46%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.32 to 1.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Fiorentina and 0.80 for Frosinone.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Fiorentina 5-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie A on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Frosinone?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 55%, draw 24%, Frosinone 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.