Bologna 4-0 Lecce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.13
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.9
X/1
12%
3.65
X/2
11%
10.05
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
6%
8.69
2/X
9%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.73/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.46
+20% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.6 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Lecce
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.19 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
431 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
04.06.2023 Lecce Lecce 2-3 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
23.10.2022 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 2-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
26.07.2020 Bologna Bologna 3-2 HT 2-1 Lecce Lecce İTA
22.12.2019 Lecce Lecce 2-3 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
05.02.2012 Lecce Lecce 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
4-0
AWAY Lecce
1.55 xG 1.17
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
540 Passes 254
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 15
7 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Lecce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna cruised past Lecce 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bologna had 65% of the ball to Lecce's 35%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.55 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bologna and 1.17 for Lecce.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Lecce?

Bologna 4-0 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Lecce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bologna 48%, draw 29%, Lecce 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
11 Feb 2024
14:30 Fiorentina vs Frosinone Analysis →
17:00 Monza vs Hellas Verona Analysis →
20:00 Genoa vs Atalanta Analysis →
22:45 Milan vs Napoli Analysis →