Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
3-4
HT 0-3
Atalanta
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Genoa
İTA
2-2
HT 2-2
Genoa
İTA
Genoa 1-4 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta cruised past Genoa 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Atalanta made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Genoa had 55% of the ball to Atalanta's 45%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.77 to 2.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Genoa and 1.33 for Atalanta.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Atalanta?
Genoa 1-4 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Atalanta?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Genoa 33%, draw 26%, Atalanta 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.