Sitra 3-1 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 39%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
1.54/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.02
+29% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
29.09.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 3-1 HT 1-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
25.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
20.10.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-2 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
25.03.2021 Sitra Sitra 0-2 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
3-1
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra got the better of Al Ahli Manama 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Sitra made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sitra had 38% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 62%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sitra and 1.20 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama?

Sitra 3-1 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sitra 34%, draw 28%, Al Ahli Manama 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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