Barcelona SC vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barcelona SC v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Barcelona SC vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Barcelona SC
EKV1
1-3
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
1-3
HT 1-1
Barcelona SC
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-1
Barcelona SC
EKV1
Barcelona SC 2-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Barcelona SC nicked a narrow win over Emelec 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Barcelona SC had 53% of the ball to Emelec's 47%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.50 to 0.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.33 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Emelec?
Barcelona SC 2-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 47%, draw 28%, Emelec 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.