Crewe Alexandra U21 4-2 Birmingham City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.14
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.9pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 59%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.51/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.67
-17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Birmingham City U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.04.2024 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 3-1 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Birmingham City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra U21 got the better of Birmingham City U21 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Birmingham City U21 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Crewe Alexandra U21 4-2 Birmingham City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra U21 27%, draw 25%, Birmingham City U21 48%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birmingham City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
21 Oct 2024
15:00 Coventry City U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 Analysis →