Atlante 3-1 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
-13.0pp
18%
Draw
14%
+4.3pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.45/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.89
+16% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -33%
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
417 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 158 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
12.04.2024 Atlante Atlante 4-0 HT 3-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
06.09.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
07.04.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
08.07.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
17.03.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-0 HT 2-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
02.08.2021 Atlante Atlante 3-0 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante got the better of Correcaminos UAT 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atlante and 0.83 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Correcaminos UAT?

Atlante 3-1 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Atlante 67%, draw 18%, Correcaminos UAT 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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