Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.7pp
35%
Draw
27%
+7.9pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 49%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.71/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.79
-29% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Floriana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTAK
17.12.2023 Floriana Floriana 3-2 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
14.04.2023 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-5 HT 0-4 Floriana Floriana MLTP
03.12.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1-1
AWAY Floriana
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC and Floriana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Floriana at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 43% of the ball to Floriana's 57%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 2.75 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana?

Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 24%, draw 35%, Floriana 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Floriana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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