Niger Tornadoes 0-1 Rivers United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.36
Over 2.5
50%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.0pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
70%
-19.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
30%
+19.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rivers United EU Bookmakers 40%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.17/0.68
-62% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +98%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rivers United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
19.05.2024 Rivers United Rivers United 3-2 HT 2-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
08.10.2023 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 1-0 HT 1-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
08.01.2022 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 0-0 HT 0-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niger Tornadoes
0-1
AWAY Rivers United
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Rivers United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rivers United edged past Niger Tornadoes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Rivers United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 62% of the ball to Rivers United's 38%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 1.00 for Rivers United.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Rivers United?

Niger Tornadoes 0-1 Rivers United in the Nigeria NPFL on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Rivers United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 34%, draw 34%, Rivers United 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/33) ✓ BTTS No
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