Radomiak Radom 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 21 Oct 2024

Radomiak Radom
2-0 HT 0-0
Puszcza Niepolomice
📅21/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Radomiak Radom vs Puszcza Niepolomice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.02
X/2
13%
8.79
X/X
13%
4.98
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
8%
6.82
2/X
7%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radomiak Radom v Puszcza Niepolomice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.86/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.35
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.5 Crosses 18.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Radomiak Radom vs Puszcza Niepolomice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.08 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 Passes 181
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
23.09.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
14.04.2021 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-4 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1
21.10.2020 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-0 HT 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
25.07.2020 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1
09.11.2019 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-1 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1

Radomiak Radom 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
2-0
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.73 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
285 Passes 187
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom got the better of Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Radomiak Radom as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 56% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 44%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.73 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.17 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Radomiak Radom 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 46%, draw 26%, Puszcza Niepolomice 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomiak Radom), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✓ Under 2.5
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