Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.15
6+ Goals
10%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.18
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
15%
5.67
X/2
17%
5.03
X/X
15%
4.24
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
12%
3.54
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 42%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.32/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.48
+26% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
11.2 Crosses 21.9
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.36 xG 3.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
167 Passes 339
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 34
21 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
14.04.2021 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-4 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1
21.10.2020 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-0 HT 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
25.07.2020 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 4-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL1
09.11.2019 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-1 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
15.11.2015 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
1-1
AWAY Radomiak Radom
0.94 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
195 Passes 237
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice and Radomiak Radom couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 48% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 52%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 0.94 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 1.33 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Radomiak Radom?

Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 35%, draw 28%, Radomiak Radom 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Radomiak Radom) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✓ Under 2.5
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