Stal Mielec 0-0 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Apr 2024

Stal Mielec
0-0 HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Stal Mielec vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.75
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
8%
8.23
X/2
16%
4.04
X/X
16%
4.33
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.5
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
23%
+9.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
39%
Away Win
50%
-11.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stal Mielec v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 55%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.20/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.10
+16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
18.6 Crosses 22.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Stal Mielec vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.54 xG 1.98
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 487
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-1 HT 2-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
27.01.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
16.07.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-2 HT 0-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
24.04.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3-1 HT 2-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
29.10.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
01.05.2021 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-2 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL

Stal Mielec 0-0 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
0-0
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.81 xG 1.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
256 Passes 355
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 40
25 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec and Lech Poznan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 44% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 56%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.81 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.00 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Lech Poznan?

Stal Mielec 0-0 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 33%, draw 29%, Lech Poznan 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lech Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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