Gornik Zabrze 1-3 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Apr 2024

Gornik Zabrze
1-3 HT 0-1
Legia Varşova
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 32% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.9
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
12%
6.62
X/2
13%
4.69
X/X
8%
4.4
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.02
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gornik Zabrze v Legia Varşova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.36/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.15
-17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
296 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
19.5 Crosses 19.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.45 xG 1.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
268 Passes 355
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
04.03.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
19.08.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.05.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 5-3 HT 4-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
21.11.2021 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-2 HT 2-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
27.02.2021 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-2 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL

Gornik Zabrze 1-3 Legia Varşova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
1-3
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.61 xG 1.88
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
497 Passes 334
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova beat Gornik Zabrze 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Legia Varşova found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 58% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.61 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 2.33 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova?

Gornik Zabrze 1-3 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 32%, draw 29%, Legia Varşova 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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