Al Najma 3-0 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2024

Al Najma
3-0 HT 3-0
Arabi
📅21/10/2024 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Al Najma vs Arabi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.1pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v Arabi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.51/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.06
+13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.0

Al Najma vs Arabi Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arabi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
05.03.2024 Arabi 5-2 HT 3-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
02.10.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 2-1 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma cruised past Arabi 3-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Al Najma found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Najma and 3.00 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Arabi?

Al Najma 3-0 Arabi in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 38%, draw 30%, Arabi 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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