Al Safa 1-3 Al Suqoor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+10.7pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.5pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-13.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Suqoor EU Bookmakers 75%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.80/3.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.68
+121% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +48%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
1-3
AWAY Al Suqoor
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al Suqoor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Suqoor saw off Al Safa 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Suqoor as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 37% of the ball to Al Suqoor's 63%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al Suqoor?

Al Safa 1-3 Al Suqoor in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al Suqoor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Suqoor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 21%, draw 22%, Al Suqoor 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Suqoor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Suqoor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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