Fountain Gate 3-1 KMC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
50%
-16.6pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fountain Gate EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY KMC EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.81/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.12
+96% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fountain Gate
0W-0D-1L
AWAY KMC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2024 KMC KMC 1-0 Fountain Gate Fountain Gate Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Fountain Gate vs KMC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fountain Gate beat KMC 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Fountain Gate made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Fountain Gate vs KMC?

Fountain Gate 3-1 KMC in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fountain Gate vs KMC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fountain Gate win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Fountain Gate 33%, draw 33%, KMC 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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