21/10/2024
·
16:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
0-0
Mashujaa vs KenGold Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Draw
★★
BTTS No
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
56%
33%
Draw
27%
33%
Away Win
16%
50%
Under 2.5
64%
50%
Over 2.5
36%
50%
BTTS Yes
37%
50%
BTTS No
63%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mashujaa v KenGold — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mashujaa
EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
KenGold
EU Bookmakers 19%
+32% /
+32%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-33% /
-33%
1.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.50/1.50
-10%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-35%
/
-30%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
0
Total Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0
0 · 0%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
0 · 0%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Mashujaa vs KenGold
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mashujaa ran out comfortable winners over KenGold 3-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mashujaa found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Mashujaa vs KenGold?
Mashujaa 3-0 KenGold in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mashujaa vs KenGold?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mashujaa win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Mashujaa 33%, draw 33%, KenGold 33%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
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21 Oct 2024