Central Valley Fuego 1-0 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 21 Oct 2024

Central Valley Fuego
1-0 HT 0-0
Greenville Triumph
📅21/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Central Valley Fuego vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Valley Fuego v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 48%
-19% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.24/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.05
-29% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.4 Crosses 19.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

Central Valley Fuego vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Valley Fuego
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.68 xG 1.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
366 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-2 HT 0-1 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
05.10.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 1-2 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
18.06.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
20.04.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 3-0 HT 2-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
10.07.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 0-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
08.05.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 1-1 HT 1-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1

Central Valley Fuego 1-0 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Valley Fuego
1-0
AWAY Greenville Triumph
0.97 xG 0.79
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 8
228 Passes 406
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Valley Fuego vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Valley Fuego nicked a narrow win over Greenville Triumph 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Greenville Triumph at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Valley Fuego had 38% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 62%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.97 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Central Valley Fuego and 1.67 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Central Valley Fuego vs Greenville Triumph?

Central Valley Fuego 1-0 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Valley Fuego vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Central Valley Fuego 33%, draw 22%, Greenville Triumph 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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