Santos 0-1 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Oct 2025

Santos
0-1 HT 0-1
Vitoria
📅21/10/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Santos vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.04
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
19%
3.96
X/2
4%
10.85
X/X
13%
4.96
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
6%
9.42
2/X
4%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.87/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.31
+0% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
24.3 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3

Santos vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Vitoria
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
296 Passes 324
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.05.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1
06.10.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1
03.06.2018 Santos Santos 5-2 HT 4-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
17.10.2017 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
22.06.2017 Vitoria Vitoria 0-2 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1
18.11.2016 Santos Santos 3-2 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1

Santos 0-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
0-1
AWAY Vitoria
0.90 xG 1.87
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
420 Passes 105
83% Pass Accuracy 57%
22 Box Touches 20
39 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santos vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria edged past Santos 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Santos carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Santos had 73% of the ball to Vitoria's 27%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.90 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Santos and 1.00 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Santos vs Vitoria?

Santos 0-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Santos 60%, draw 24%, Vitoria 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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