Juventude 1-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.68
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
16%
6.22
X/2
11%
5.08
X/X
10%
4.07
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.43
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.11/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.24
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +63%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
23.9 Crosses 20.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
339 Passes 304
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.05.2025 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
29.09.2024 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
16.06.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
01.08.2022 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
12.04.2022 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
01.12.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
1-0
AWAY Bragantino
0.97 xG 0.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
267 Passes 393
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude nicked a narrow win over Bragantino 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Juventude made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Juventude had 43% of the ball to Bragantino's 57%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 0.97 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Juventude and 1.17 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Bragantino?

Juventude 1-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Juventude 36%, draw 26%, Bragantino 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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