Juventude 1-1 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Sep 2024

Juventude
1-1 HT 0-0
Bragantino
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Juventude vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 29% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.67
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
12%
5.33
X/2
14%
5.76
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
12%
4.1
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventude v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.16/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.17
+3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.8 Crosses 21.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Juventude vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bragantino
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 0.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
340 Passes 323
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.06.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
01.08.2022 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
12.04.2022 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
01.12.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
14.08.2021 Bragantino 1-2 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
23.09.2009 Bragantino 3-2 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR2

Juventude 1-1 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
1-1
AWAY Bragantino
1.00 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
317 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude and Bragantino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juventude had 52% of the ball to Bragantino's 48%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.00 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventude and 1.50 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Bragantino?

Juventude 1-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventude win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juventude 39%, draw 29%, Bragantino 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Juventude), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventude) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
29 Sep 2024
00:30 Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →
03:00 Botafogo vs Gremio Analysis →
22:00 Atletico Goianiense vs Fluminense Analysis →
22:00 Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Analysis →
22:00 Fortaleza vs Cuiaba Analysis →