Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Sep 2024

Sao Paulo DWDLD→
3 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Corinthians WLWWW→
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 17:47
Match Result
Home
36%
2.48
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
70%
1.41
Over
30%
2.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
41%
1.93
2-3
47%
1.87
4-5
11%
7.04
6+
1%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.96
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.35
X/1
15%
4.85
X/2
13%
5.48
X/X
25%
3.22
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.68
2/X
4%
15.5
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Sao Paulo v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sao Paulo The Market 40%
Signal
AWAY Corinthians The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.84
1.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Corinthians
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.31 xG 0.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
471 Passes 326
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.06.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-2 HT 2-2 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
01.10.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-1 HT 2-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
17.08.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 2-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
26.07.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRK
14.05.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
30.01.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-2 HT 0-2 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU

Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
3 - 1
AWAY Corinthians
2.97 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
326 Passes 278
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sao Paulo beat Corinthians 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; Sao Paulo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Sao Paulo had 53% of the ball to Corinthians's 47%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.97 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.33 for Corinthians.

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Result & Final Score

Sao Paulo 3 - 1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 36%, draw 35%, Corinthians 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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