Fortaleza vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Cuiaba
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Fortaleza
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Cuiaba
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Fortaleza 1-0 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza squeezed past Cuiaba 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortaleza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Fortaleza had 54% of the ball to Cuiaba's 46%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 0.77 to 0.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cuiaba led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fortaleza and 1.67 for Cuiaba.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Cuiaba?
Fortaleza 1-0 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Cuiaba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 49%, draw 26%, Cuiaba 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.