Cuiaba 5-0 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Jun 2024

Cuiaba
5-0 HT 4-0
Fortaleza
📅17/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Cuiaba vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.54
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.86
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
11%
6.13
X/2
12%
4.99
X/X
11%
3.37
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.63
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.6pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cuiaba v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.18/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.35
-17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.6 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cuiaba vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fortaleza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.04 xG 0.90
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
231 Passes 411
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.11.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
16.07.2023 Fortaleza Fortaleza 0-1 HT 0-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
01.08.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
11.04.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 0-1 HT 0-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
07.12.2021 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
31.08.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1

Cuiaba 5-0 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
5-0
AWAY Fortaleza
3.59 xG 0.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 2
13 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
460 Passes 359
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 5
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba ran out comfortable winners over Fortaleza 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cuiaba found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Cuiaba had 55% of the ball to Fortaleza's 45%, shots finished 21-2, expected goals 3.59 to 0.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cuiaba had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cuiaba and 0.33 for Fortaleza.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Fortaleza?

Cuiaba 5-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 31%, draw 30%, Fortaleza 39%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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