Gremio vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 2-1
Gremio
BR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-5
HT 0-2
Gremio
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Botafogo
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Gremio
BR1
Gremio 1-2 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo nicked a narrow win over Gremio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Botafogo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gremio had 45% of the ball to Botafogo's 55%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.03 to 0.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Gremio and 1.33 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Botafogo?
Gremio 1-2 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gremio 35%, draw 29%, Botafogo 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.