Criciuma vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Criciuma
BR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
3-2
HT 0-1
Bahia
BR2
Criciuma 2-2 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma and Bahia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Bahia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Criciuma had 32% of the ball to Bahia's 68%, shots finished 17-22, expected goals 1.92 to 0.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Criciuma and 1.50 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Bahia?
Criciuma 2-2 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 31%, draw 27%, Bahia 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.