Vasco da Gama 0-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Jun 2024

📅17/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.08
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
16%
5.37
X/2
19%
5.21
X/X
14%
3.81
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
8%
3.92
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.38/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.22
-16% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +38%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.8 Crosses 18.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 0.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-2 HT 2-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
08.07.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
22.09.2022 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 3-0 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
12.06.2022 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
19.09.2021 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-1 HT 1-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR2
25.06.2021 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 2-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
0-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.06 xG 0.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
276 Passes 292
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama and Cruzeiro played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 50% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 50%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.06 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.50 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro?

Vasco da Gama 0-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 37%, draw 29%, Cruzeiro 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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