Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.09
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.61
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
9%
4.84
X/2
11%
5.67
X/X
15%
3.79
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
19%
4.5
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -19%
1.32/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.36
-26% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.5 Crosses 16.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fluminense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.79 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
307 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
06.10.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-2 HT 1-2 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
12.06.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 0-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
09.10.2021 Fluminense Fluminense 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
24.06.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
17.12.2020 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-1 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
1-0
AWAY Fluminense
1.43 xG 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
260 Passes 423
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense squeezed past Fluminense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Atletico Goianiense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 39% of the ball to Fluminense's 61%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.43 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 0.67 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Fluminense?

Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 34%, draw 29%, Fluminense 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fluminense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fluminense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
29 Sep 2024
00:30 Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →
03:00 Botafogo vs Gremio Analysis →
17:00 Juventude vs Bragantino Analysis →
22:00 Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Analysis →
22:00 Fortaleza vs Cuiaba Analysis →