Bragantino 1-0 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 May 2025

📅27/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.84
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.4
X/1
16%
3.85
X/2
8%
13.3
X/X
11%
5.49
2/1
10%
25.0
2/2
7%
11.9
2/X
6%
20.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-5.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.74/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.68
+1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
358 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
24.7 Crosses 16.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Juventude
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 336
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
16.06.2024 Bragantino 2-1 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
01.08.2022 Bragantino 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
12.04.2022 Juventude Juventude 2-2 HT 1-1 Bragantino BR1
01.12.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
14.08.2021 Bragantino 1-2 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-0
AWAY Juventude
1.00 xG 0.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
306 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino nicked a narrow win over Juventude 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bragantino as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bragantino had 48% of the ball to Juventude's 52%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.00 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bragantino and 1.17 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Juventude?

Bragantino 1-0 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 58%, draw 23%, Juventude 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bragantino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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