CSKA Moskova 3-2 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
14%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.15
Over
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.89
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
28%
2.93
6+
10%
9.07
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.89 — our 23% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
CSKA Moskova win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
67%
Home Win
61%
+6.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.3pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron The Market 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.57/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.71
-18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Akron
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.71 xG 1.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
427 Passes 306
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-1 HT 2-1 Akron Akron RUS
12.08.2025 Akron Akron 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
16.03.2025 Akron Akron 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
24.08.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
3-2
AWAY Akron
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova edged past Akron 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 56% of the ball to Akron's 44%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.75 for Akron.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Akron?

CSKA Moskova 3-2 Akron in the Russia - Cup on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 67%, draw 19%, Akron 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5
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21 Oct 2025
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