Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Makhachkala v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals
Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Makhachkala 1-3 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Moskova saw off Makhachkala 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Makhachkala had 60% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 40%, shots finished 22-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Makhachkala and 0.83 for Spartak Moskova.
What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskova?
Makhachkala 1-3 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskova?
Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 24%, draw 25%, Spartak Moskova 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.