Spartak Moskova vs Makhachkala Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Moskova v Makhachkala — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Moskova vs Makhachkala Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Spartak Moskova 1-2 Makhachkala — Actual Match Statistics
Makhachkala nicked a narrow win over Spartak Moskova 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Spartak Moskova at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Spartak Moskova had 74% of the ball to Makhachkala's 26%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.94 to 0.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Spartak Moskova.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.67 for Makhachkala.
What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Makhachkala?
Spartak Moskova 1-2 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Makhachkala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 64%, draw 23%, Makhachkala 14%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.