Makhachkala 1-1 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.7
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
4.34
6+ Goals
7%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
9.0
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
5%
17.5
X/1
9%
10.3
X/2
13%
3.65
X/X
15%
4.51
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.14
2/X
7%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+10.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
44%
Away Win
56%
-12.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
Crosses 18.9
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-1 HT 0-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
1-1
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.54 xG 1.55
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
150 Passes 413
57% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala and Spartak Moskova shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Makhachkala had 34% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 66%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.54 to 1.55.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskova?

Makhachkala 1-1 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 29%, draw 27%, Spartak Moskova 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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