Dinamo Moscow 4-2 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.38
Over 2.5
45%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
21%
2.77
6+ Goals
9%
7.31
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.97 — our 31% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.45
X/1
14%
3.98
X/2
10%
11.3
X/X
12%
6.47
2/1
10%
20.15
2/2
10%
7.91
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-13.0pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.7pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
1.58/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.62
-11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.7 Crosses 13.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Moscow
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
01.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
14.05.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
23.11.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
02.10.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
13.09.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 2-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Moscow
4-2
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
3.95 xG 1.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 15
13 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
352 Passes 225
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
43 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow saw off FC Akhmat Grozny 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow had 60% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 40%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 3.95 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Moscow and 1.50 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Dinamo Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Dinamo Moscow 4-2 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Moscow vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Moscow 46%, draw 27%, FC Akhmat Grozny 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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