Akron 3-0 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

Akron
3-0 HT 2-0
Khimki
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.44
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.94
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.81
X/2
12%
5.29
X/X
17%
4.7
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
19%
3.45
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 42%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.56/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.93
-24% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
12.0 Crosses 18.8
7.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Khimki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Khimki Khimki 2-2 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
02.10.2023 Akron Akron 0-2 HT 0-2 Khimki Khimki RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
3-0
AWAY Khimki
1.28 xG 1.87
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
239 Passes 413
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 52
26 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Akron vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron swept aside Khimki 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Akron made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Akron had 39% of the ball to Khimki's 61%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.28 to 1.87 — the balance of chances actually favoured Khimki.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Khimki led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Akron and 2.00 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Akron vs Khimki?

Akron 3-0 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Akron 37%, draw 27%, Khimki 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akron), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Akron) ✓ BTTS No
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