Spartak Moskova 0-1 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.84/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+66% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
0-1
AWAY Makhachkala
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala nicked a narrow win over Spartak Moskova 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 72% of the ball to Makhachkala's 28%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Makhachkala?

Spartak Moskova 0-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 54%, draw 23%, Makhachkala 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova)
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