Fakel 0-2 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 46%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/0.82
-100% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
212 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.55 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
324 Passes 250
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
25.09.2023 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-2
AWAY Rubin Kazan
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan saw off Fakel 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rubin Kazan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Fakel had 60% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 40%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fakel and 1.00 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Rubin Kazan?

Fakel 0-2 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fakel 26%, draw 31%, Rubin Kazan 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rubin Kazan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUK More Russia - Cup
27 Aug 2024
17:15 Akron vs Zenit St. Petersburg Analysis →
17:15 FC Akhmat Grozny vs CSKA Moskova Analysis →
19:30 Spartak Moskova vs Makhachkala Analysis →