Akron 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
8.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 31% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.6pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-16.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.6pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
1-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Akron vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron and Zenit St. Petersburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Akron had 51% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 49%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Akron vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Akron 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Akron 26%, draw 25%, Zenit St. Petersburg 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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