FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 27 Aug 2024

📅27/08/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 45%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.57/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.68
+143% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
2W-0D-4L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.99 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 Passes 365
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
30.07.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-3 HT 2-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
29.04.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-3 HT 0-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
21.08.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-2 HT 3-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
01.05.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
21.08.2021 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
0-2
AWAY CSKA Moskova
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova beat FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 35%) promised a tight game; CSKA Moskova found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 50% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 50%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 2.17 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs CSKA Moskova?

FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 27/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 32%, draw 32%, CSKA Moskova 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5
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