Makhachkala 0-1 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.01
6+ Goals
11%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+9.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 54%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.48
-4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +117%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.54 xG 1.55
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
150 Passes 413
57% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
27.08.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 0-1 HT 0-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
0-1
AWAY Spartak Moskova
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova squeezed past Makhachkala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spartak Moskova as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Makhachkala had 44% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 56%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Makhachkala had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Makhachkala and 0.50 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskova?

Makhachkala 0-1 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 33%, draw 25%, Spartak Moskova 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Moskova) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ BTTS Yes
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