Fakel 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
11%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
55%
Away Win
59%
-3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 62%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
0.94/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.87
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -27%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.67 xG 1.27
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
162 Passes 529
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
30.07.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUK
06.05.2024 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.08.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
03.06.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
16.11.2022 Fakel Fakel 0-2 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-1
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg edged past Fakel 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fakel had 60% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 40%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fakel and 2.00 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Fakel 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Cup on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fakel 23%, draw 21%, Zenit St. Petersburg 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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