CSKA Moskova 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.56/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/1.51
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
387 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.66 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
328 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
27.08.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
20.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
30.07.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-3 HT 2-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
29.04.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-3 HT 0-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
21.08.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-2 HT 3-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
1-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova edged past FC Akhmat Grozny 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 46% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 54%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.17 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

CSKA Moskova 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Cup on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 52%, draw 25%, FC Akhmat Grozny 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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