CSKA Moskova 3-0 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.69
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.0
X/1
21%
3.64
X/2
10%
12.15
X/X
10%
5.78
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
10%
9.73
2/X
6%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.86/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.63
+30% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +25%
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 71%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.1 Crosses 13.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 Passes 290
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
20.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
30.07.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-3 HT 2-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
29.04.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-3 HT 0-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
21.08.2022 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 4-2 HT 3-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
01.05.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
3-0
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
2.95 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
431 Passes 317
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova swept aside FC Akhmat Grozny 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 56% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 44%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.95 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.50 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

CSKA Moskova 3-0 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 51%, draw 23%, FC Akhmat Grozny 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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