Rostov 0-2 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

Rostov
0-2 HT 0-2
Akron
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Rostov vs Akron Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.2 — our 26% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.89
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.35
X/1
15%
3.78
X/2
7%
11.6
X/X
11%
6.13
2/1
11%
21.35
2/2
11%
8.79
2/X
6%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.1pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.3pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Akron — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.62/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.11
-16% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +72%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
409 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
24.4 Crosses 17.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Rostov 0-2 Akron — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0-2
AWAY Akron
0.92 xG 1.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
362 Passes 255
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 30
32 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akron saw off Rostov 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Rostov had 58% of the ball to Akron's 42%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 0.92 to 1.70.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Akron?

Rostov 0-2 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rostov 49%, draw 28%, Akron 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rostov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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