Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-15.9pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.6pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.98/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.23
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +60%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
468 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Fakel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.27 xG 0.49
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
518 Passes 154
84% Pass Accuracy 60%
27 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.08.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
03.06.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
16.11.2022 Fakel Fakel 0-2 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
08.10.2022 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
31.08.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Fakel Fakel RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3-0
AWAY Fakel
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg swept aside Fakel 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 65% of the ball to Fakel's 35%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.33 for Fakel.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Fakel?

Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 Fakel in the Russia - Cup on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 56%, draw 25%, Fakel 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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